Well after what seems like a long wet winter we are finally heading to Prestbury Park for the Cheltenham Festival 2020. I have also taken some time off from tipping and my backing service, to focus on my trading and laying, with 3 or 4 back bets a week.
We start the week on the Old course and I thought I would share a few bets this week with you and hope you enjoy a few winners, these are horse I have been tracking across the season and expect to run well this week.
1:30 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle – 2m 1/2f
As all of you who have known me over the past 10 years will know, this is a race I spend plenty of time on and have a great strike rate with 4 winners in Menorah at 14/1, Champagne Fever at 5/1, Altior at 6/1 and Summerville Boy at 10/1. A race that Willie Mullins targets to get his week off to a flyer, he heads the market with Mrs J Donnelly’s Asterion Forlonge with the same owner also owning the Nicky Henderson trained Shishkin who is 2nd favourite and won impressively by 11 lengths at Huntingdon last month in a decent listed hurdle. However my money is on ABACADABRAS who will love conditions and the form of his 2nd to Envoi Allen in the Royal Bond at Fairyhouse in December was impressive. If you can get 7/1 then grab it 🙂
VIDEO – Using Form & Race Trends To Find Day 1 Festival Winners
2:10 Arkle Novices’ Chase – 2m
An open looking renewal this year after a number of years with short priced favourites such as Footpad, Altior, Douvan and Un De Sceaux dominating. Notebook is a worthy favourite having beaten both Fakir D’oudairies and Cash Back over the past few months. Although the win over the later horse was less than a length and so it would be no surprise to see that overturned this time. However I do question the temprement of the favourite and can see the crowd, the noise and the occasion getting to him at Cheltenham. So my money is going on FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES at 9/2 who was a good 4th here in the Supreme last year and has looked even better since switching to fences, including beating Melon by 3 lengths at Navan in November.
3:30 Champion Hurdle – 2m
The mighty Buveur D’Air won this two years in a row for Nicky Henderson and he has also won it with Binocular, so it is no surprise to see Henderson with four entries again this year. Epatante is the choice of Barry Geraghty, which is usually a strong indication of the best horse, but she was disappointing last year when going off favourite in the Mares’ Novice Hurdle and although she won the Christmas Hurdle in good style, she benefited from the Mare’s allowance. Cilaos Emery was off the track for a couple of years and has come back to be a decent chaser, however he showed he had plenty to offer over hurdles when winning at Gowran Park last month and deserves respect. Supasundae won the Coral Cup here in 2017, finished 2nd behind Penhill in the Stayer’s Hurdle in 2018 and beat the afore mentioned Buveur D’Air at Aintree last year in the Aintree Hurdle, so 11/1 could be a great price. I am sticking with PENTLAND HILLS who won twice for me last year in the Triumph Hurdle and then at Aintree in the Juvenile Hurdle beating Fakir D’oudairies. He will get a stronger pace in this race and has had a wind op since his Haydock 2nd to Ballyandy and can make amends here.
Have a great Day 1 and talk tomorrow with my pick for the Champion Chase.