Well it is that time of year again, when we all head to Prestbury Park for the Cheltenham Festival 2019.
This year I will be analysing the key Grade 1’s each day and putting up some tips for you all to follow for FREE. I may be back later in the year with my backing service, but for now I am happy to share my thoughts and bets each day of the Festival 2019.
VIDEO| Finding Winners On Day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival 2019
I hope you watched the video above and it gave you insight into how to use statistical analysis and key trial races to take note of when making your selections.
The big factor this year is the ground which is going to be soft, with more rain due and a storm approaching on Tuesday from the west, conditions will deteriorate further through the week, so look for horse who are proven to perform in the testing conditions. Here is my view on the four Grade 1’s of Day 1.
1:30 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
Well last year we kicked off the festival in style with our bet Summerville Boy beating Kalashnikov at 9/1 to give us a nice winner. In fact I have picked the winner of the Supreme 3 times from the last 6 years.
If you follow me on Twitter @racingprofits – you will know how much I like ELIXIR DE NUTZ and he followed a course and distance win here in December with an even more impressive win on soft ground at Sandown in the Tolworth Hurdle beating the well fancied Rathhill. He is proven here and in the conditions, with further improvement likely he is far too big a price.
RP TIP: Go nuts on ELIXIR DE NUTZ – 1pt each way at 8/1
2:10 The Arkle
A super-competitive renewal this year and one in which you could make a case for the majority of the field, but I am going to have a small interest in HARDLINE who loves soft / heavy conditions, with all of his best performances coming on this ground. The stand out performance is his beating of Getabird on Boxing Day at Limerick, finding plenty over 2m 3f and proving doubts about his stamina wrong. He is dropped back to 2m here and will make it a test with Davy Russell back in the saddle.
RP TIP: Go in hard on HARDLINE – 1pt to win at 5/1
3:30 Champion Hurdle
Although I backed Verdana Blue in the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton on Boxing Day, I am a massive BUVEUR D’AIR fan and the way he beat Samcro in the Fighting Fifth and Vision Des Flos at Sandown, plus conditions being perfect for him back here, I am happy to take on Apple’s Jade with him. I backed her last year in the Mares’ Hurdle and thought she was very disappointing, so could not trust her again here.
RP TIP: BUVEUR D’AIR – 2pts to win
4:10 OLBG Mares’ Hurdle
A race dominated by Willie Mullins and again he has 5 runners of the 10 this year and it hard to get away from the unbeaten Benie Des Dieux who won the race last year beating the aforementioned Apple’s Jade before heading to Punchestown to win the Mares’ Champion Hurdle. She has not been seen since, mainly due to the ground conditions, but the rain has come and the fact that Ruby Walsh has picked her ahead of Limini or any of the other Mullins entries.
However, I was impressed by the run of ROKSANA at Sandown behind Buveur D’Air on her reappearance and if that gets her back near the form she showed when 2nd to Santini in the Sefton Novices’ at Aintree last April, she could give the favourite something to think about and could well be in the mix.
RP TIP: ROKSANA – 1pt each way at 10/1
Enjoy Day 1 and don’t forget to visit www.racingprofits.net for more free videos and tips on profitable betting.
Talk tomorrow for Day 2 and the Champion Chase.