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2 Big Bets For Day 2 Of The Cheltenham Festival

Well two 2nd’s on our first day of The Festival and I have to be honest and say that as they turned in in the Supreme Novices I felt that ABACADABRAS had the race, but fair play to Shishkin who used all his pace to narrow the gap bit by bit and just get his nose ahead at the line. A great race and one where you come away just having known you got beaten. We then took on Notebook in the Arkle with Fakir D’oudairies and again as they turned in, our main rival was being pushed along and I felt confident we could take the race, only for a 16/1 shot to spoil the party. As for my bigger priced bet on Pentland Hills, the overnight rain did not aid his cause and he never really got involved with the favourite Epatante a worthy winner of the Champion Hurdle.

On to Day 2 and a couple that I really like, one short price and one big price.

Day 2 – Champion Chase Day

2:50 Coral Cup Hurdle – 2m 5f

A 26 runner handicap is probably not where you would expect to find an angle, but with BACHASSON in this race, I think there is a real opportunity for some value. At 20/1 I think he is a cracking each way bet for this today and for good reason. He looked a real star in the making when winning his first four races for the stable in 2015 and he rose to a mark of 151 over hurdles before swithing to fences to continue his progression to a chase mark of 159 and even an entry in the Gold Cup in 2018. He then had a couple of runs before a long break off the track, only to reappear at Navan in the Grade 2 Boyne Hurdle and show he had lost none of his talent, finishing ahead of the favourite Kilfenora and behind Penhill in 3rd. He loved the heavy ground that day and kept going well, for his first race back and to be on a mark of only 148 for this race, he has to be one for the shortlist and can go close at a big price.

RP TIP: 1pt each way at 20/1

VIDEO – Using Race Trends On Day 2

3:30 Champion Chase – 2m

A small field and with the loss of Altior yesterday, it is difficult to get away from my bet of the week which is DEFI DU SEUIL who is nailed on for this race and a horse I had backed Antepost already for a large bet, but now will lump on again. He is bang in form and the way he beat Un De Sceaux in the Tingle Creek and then again in the Clarence House at Ascot, there is little in the field to worry him here other than Chacun Pour Soi who beat him at Punchestown on far better ground. Soft and heavy conditions are perfect for Defi and he will put that defeat behind him here today.

RP TIP: 5 pts to win at 5/4

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sprinter sacre champion chase

Cheltenham Festival – Day 2 – Big Race Tips

Well a shame to lose Elixir De Nutz from the Supreme, just after I had posted, but that left us three solid bets and ROKSANA delivered at 10/1 for us, even if it was a shade fortunate, with the favourite going well and coming down at the last.

VIDEO | Finding Winners On Day 2 Of The Cheltenham Festival

On to Day 2 of the Cheltenham Festival and just two races I am getting involved in today.

1:30 Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle

A competitive race again this year but BATTLEOVERDOYEN has done little wrong in three runs this season, and went into my notebook after beating Sams Profile at Naas at the start of January. A race that Gordon Elliott targets and won with Samcro last year.

RP TIP: BATTLEOVERDOYEN – 2pts to win at 7/2

2:10 RSA Novices’ Chase

I am sticking with SANTINI who will love conditions and be able to make amends for his Boxing Day 3rd in the Kauto Star Novice Chase at Kempton where he seemed to get caught out by the sharp track and this test will be perfect for him.

RP TIP: SANTINI – 2pts to win at 3/1

sprinter sacre champion chase

3:30 Champion Chase

I can’t oppose ALTIOR but I can’t back him at 2/5 either, so I will watch and enjoy him romping to victory.

Have a great Day 2 and talk tomorrow

Cheltenham Festival 2016

Cheltenham Festival 2019 – Day 1 Guide & Tips

Well it is that time of year again, when we all head to Prestbury Park for the Cheltenham Festival 2019.

This year I will be analysing the key Grade 1’s each day and putting up some tips for you all to follow for FREE. I may be back later in the year with my backing service, but for now I am happy to share my thoughts and bets each day of the Festival 2019.

VIDEO| Finding Winners On Day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival 2019

I hope you watched the video above and it gave you insight into how to use statistical analysis and key trial races to take note of when making your selections.

The big factor this year is the ground which is going to be soft, with more rain due and a storm approaching on Tuesday from the west, conditions will deteriorate further through the week, so look for horse who are proven to perform in the testing conditions. Here is my view on the four Grade 1’s of Day 1.

1:30 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

Well last year we kicked off the festival in style with our bet Summerville Boy beating Kalashnikov at 9/1 to give us a nice winner. In fact I have picked the winner of the Supreme 3 times from the last 6 years.

If you follow me on Twitter @racingprofits – you will know how much I like ELIXIR DE NUTZ and he followed a course and distance win here in December with an even more impressive win on soft ground at Sandown in the Tolworth Hurdle beating the well fancied Rathhill. He is proven here and in the conditions, with further improvement likely he is far too big a price.

RP TIP: Go nuts on ELIXIR DE NUTZ – 1pt each way at 8/1

Cheltenham Festival 2016

2:10 The Arkle

A super-competitive renewal this year and one in which you could make a case for the majority of the field, but I am going to have a small interest in HARDLINE who loves soft / heavy conditions, with all of his best performances coming on this ground. The stand out performance is his beating of Getabird on Boxing Day at Limerick, finding plenty over 2m 3f and proving doubts about his stamina wrong. He is dropped back to 2m here and will make it a test with Davy Russell back in the saddle.

RP TIP: Go in hard on HARDLINE – 1pt to win at 5/1

3:30 Champion Hurdle

Although I backed Verdana Blue in the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton on Boxing Day, I am a massive BUVEUR D’AIR fan and the way he beat Samcro in the Fighting Fifth and Vision Des Flos at Sandown, plus conditions being perfect for him back here, I am happy to take on Apple’s Jade with him. I backed her last year in the Mares’ Hurdle and thought she was very disappointing, so could not trust her again here.

RP TIP: BUVEUR D’AIR – 2pts to win

4:10 OLBG Mares’ Hurdle

A race dominated by Willie Mullins and again he has 5 runners of the 10 this year and it hard to get away from the unbeaten Benie Des Dieux who won the race last year beating the aforementioned Apple’s Jade before heading to Punchestown to win the Mares’ Champion Hurdle. She has not been seen since, mainly due to the ground conditions, but the rain has come and the fact that Ruby Walsh has picked her ahead of Limini or any of the other Mullins entries.

However, I was impressed by the run of ROKSANA at Sandown behind Buveur D’Air on her reappearance and if that gets her back near the form she showed when 2nd to Santini in the Sefton Novices’ at Aintree last April, she could give the favourite something to think about and could well be in the mix.

RP TIP: ROKSANA – 1pt each way at 10/1

Enjoy Day 1 and don’t forget to visit for more free videos and tips on profitable betting.

Talk tomorrow for Day 2 and the Champion Chase.

Cheltenham Festival 2016

Cheltenham Festival 2019 – What Did We Learn Over Christmas ?

Well a busy Christmas period here and over in Ireland always starts to give us a few pointers for the festival and the picture for the Cheltenham Festival 2019 is starting to take shape.

Kempton Christmas Meeting Results

The two-day Kempton christmas meeting this year was marked by the fact that only one favourite won over the two days, and so probably threw up more questions than answers for the Festival. The unbeaten 
Buveur D’Air was beaten by stablemate, and one of my horses to follow, Verdana Blue. Although not the kind of performance you would want to see from the Champion Hurdle favourite, I am sure he will be back stronger for the run. Henderson has since confirmed that Verdana Blue will be heading to the Champion Hurdle, but she will not be the one for me at Cheltenham.

Don’t forget to check out my National Hunt Lay System for the jumps here – National Hunt Jumps Lay System

In the King George VI I had backed Thistlecrack against the favourite Might Bite and was confident that he would do the business as they turned in, only to see Clan Des Obeaux cruise up and take the race. I can’t have him for the Gold Cup though and this has thrown the market wide open.

It was a similar story on Day 2 at Kempton with Kalashnikov getting turned over at 4/6f in the Wayward Lad Novice Chase

Altior showed how dominant he is and won the Desert Orchid Chase by 19 lengths, to go to 16 races unbeaten and demonstrate why there will be little to worry about come the Queen Mother Chase in March.

Over at Chepstow, Elegant Escape went off the 3/1 favourite for the Welsh National and put in an impressive round of jumping to win. However, he is no Gold Cup winner and needs to improve by around 12lb to have any hope of competing in the big one. 

At Newbury on Saturday we saw the exciting Novice Champ win the Challow Hurdle, although he will no doubt end up in the Ballymore on Day 2 at the Festival, he certainly looks to have the pace to drop to 2 miles.

Want to learn how to trade on the Betfair re-race markets ? Check out my 6 Weeks Trading Training Course

Irish Meeting Results Over Christmas

On Boxing Day the highlight at Leopardstown was the Grade 1 Racing Post Novice Chase over 2m 1f and it was won impressively by Le Richebourg who had been dropped back in trip and looks like a real contender for The Arkle. 

A couple of surprise results were to see Willie Mullins hotpots Getabird and Footpad both get turned over. However the way Aramon won the Champions Novice Hurdle at Leopardstown by 10 lengths was very impressive, with a lovely burst of speed, and it would be no surprise to see him head to the Supreme Novices at the Festival. 

On Friday Apple’s Jade made it three wins from three for the season by taking the Grade 1 Christmas Hurdle at Leopardstown and I hope she heads for the Mares’ Hurdle at the Festival, where she can make amends for this year’s poor run. 

Today at Leopardstown threw up more surprises, none more so than to see last seasons talking horse Samcro disappoint in the Ryanair Hurdle, finishing back in 5th as the 6/4f. The winner Sharjah proved his beating of Faugheen at Punchestown in November was no fluke and the way he was driven clear from the last to beat some decent rivals puts him in the frame for the Champion Hurdle in March.

Don’t forget to check out my National Hunt Lay System for the jumps here – National Hunt Jumps Lay System

Willie Mullins had 5 winners today at Leopardstown and Limerick, so the yard is flying and with Gordon Elliott also hitting form, the Irish will have a strong hand by the time the Cheltenham Festival 2019 arrives.

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