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Cheltenham Gold Cup Day 2020 – It’s Going To be Huge

Well after some close 2nd’s on Day 1 and a blow out yesterday, we got off the mark with SAMCRO winning a tight finish with Faugheen and Melon. I hope you got the 5/1 as he was strong all day in the markets. I was also pleased we opposed Paisley Park in the Stayer’s Hurdle and although Summerville Boy was back in 5th, there was no way I could have fancied Lisnagar Oscar, Ronald Pump or Bacardys.

The Cheltenham Gold Cup

Cheltenham Gold Cup Day 2020

On to today and the big race that the week has been building up to, the Cheltenham Gold Cup, but we also have the Triumph Hurdle and Albert Bartlett too, so plenty to go at today.

1:30 Triumph Hurdle – 2m

There is only one horse for me in this year’s Triumph and that is SOLO from Paul Nicholls stable. He joined the stable at the end of January and had his first outing at Kempton in the Adonis Hurdle last month where he dominated the field to win by 13 lengths. He went into my notebook for this race and I expect him to improve even further today.

RP TIP: 2pts win at 5/1

2:50 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

Another that I feel is open to more improvement today and has already proven he can compete with the very best is Philip Hobbs’ THYME HILL who was third in last year’s Champion Bumper but has since won all three of his hurdles races, including the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle at Newbury in December. He has been lightly raced and clearly aimed squarley at this race today. Grab the 5/1 while you can, as I recommended with Samcro yesterday.

RP TIP: 2pts win at 5/1

3:30 Cheltenham Gold Cup 2020

I am sticking with LOSTINTRANSLATION for this year’s Gold Cup. After his 2nd last year to Defi Du Seuil in the JLT and then winning at Aintree in the Mildmay before reappearing to win at Carlisle and then again at Haydock in the Betfair Chase, his only blot on his copy book was his run at Kempton in the King George where he appeared to be struggling to breath and was pulled up three out. He has since had a wind operation and also has a tongue tie to help, so I fully expect him to bounce back and put in a strong run today. At the price he is a good each way option.

RP TIP: 1pt each way at 8/1

A big bet for the Stayers Hurdle Today At The Festival

Well so close to a nice each way landing with Bachasson finishing in 6th, just missing out at 25/1. The big disappointment has to be in DEFI DU SEUIL though, the odds on him had already taken a battering with Altior and then Chacun Pour Soi being withdrawn, the two main competitors, it should have left it as an open goal for Defi, but he never travelled in the race and was being pushed along way out. It was a huge disappointment and far from what I expected.

Onto Thursday and it is probably my least favourite day over the years, with plenty of big fields, it is a day for the bookies and not the punter. However I have a couple I really like today.

1:30 Marsh Novices Chase – 2m 3f

A decent renewal with some top Novice Chasers involved including Itchy Feet and “the machine” Faugheen who is now 12yrs old but still got plenty of class and found a new lease of life over fences. However, my bet is going to be on SAMCRO at 5/1 who is a class act and despite losing to Faugheen, has had another wind operation to help him finish off his races. He could take all the beating here.

RP TIP: 2pts each way at 5/1

3:30 Stayers’ Hurdle – 2m 7f

I am a massive Paisley Park fan and can see why he is such a short priced favourite, but I can not take the price and would rather oppose with an old friend of mine SUMMERVILLE BOY, who won the Supreme Novice Hurdle for me in 2018 and has started to look like he is back in that sort of form this year with a nice win here in the Relkeel Hurdle on New Year’s Day followed by a battling performance to chase home Paisley Park in the Cleeve Hurdle. He loves Cheltenham and at 9/1 he is the bet for me in the race.

RP TIP: 1pt each way at 9/1

PLanning A Profitable betting Strategy in 2016 www.RacingProfits.net

2016 Haldon Gold Cup At Exeter – Race Anlaysis

PLanning A Profitable betting Strategy in 2016 www.RacingProfits.net

Well it is rare to get such a decent race mid-week and the 2016 Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter today is a real early season treat.

The market for today’s race is headed by Garde La Victoire who has a run under his belt already this season, with an emphatic win at Ffos Las last month in the Welsh Champion Hurdle. He is back over fences today and the main concern has to be his falls at Cheltenham and Aintree last term in Grade 1 company. However, prior to that he won three chases comfortably, so hopefully he will get a clear round today, but I could not be taking 7/4 on him.

Paul Nicholl’s targets this race and won it last year with Vibrato Valtat beating the likes of God’s Own, Sire De Grugy and Third Intention. He is pinning this year’s hopes on the 2015 Champion Chase winning Dodging Bullets who took his time to get back to fitness last season after an injury delayed his comeback. However, his final run at Sandown in the Celebration Chase, where he finished 3rd behind Sprinter Sacre and Un De Sceaux was a sign that he was coming back to near his best and the break will have done him good.

Harry Fry’s Presenting Arms is becoming a nearly horse and creeping up the handicap, now running off a mark of 145. He will be race fit after runs at Market Rasen and Cheltenham already this season, both finishing in 2nd place. He is a strong contender, but the front two should have too much for him today.

Dan Skelton has had 7 winners in the past 2 weeks and Pain Au Chocalat has won twice for the yard over fences since moving from Alan King last year plus a 3rd in the Grade 2 Kingwell Hurdle at Wincanton. Aginthe concern is his fall at Ayr in April. He is only 5yo and should have plenty more to come over fences, the first time tongue tie today could also be a major plus.

I would recommmend focusing on the top of the market for today’s race and I have shared my selection with my Racing Profits Email Subscription Service subscribers this morning, whichever way you go – enjoy the race.

Jump To It – Are You Ready To Make Money This Jumps Season ?

Well after a quiet October so far, we had a great end to the flat season yesterday with Champions Day at Ascot. It was particularly satisfying for me, as I had put up Minding as a main bet for my Racing Profits Email Subscribers yesterday morning at 5/2 in the morning and she landed Queen Elizabeth II nicely, fending off the late challenge from Ribschester.

All Focus Now Switches To The Jumps Until April

Cheltenham Festival 2016

Although we have a few more flat meetings in October and November, including the Racing Post Trophy and November Handicap at Doncaster. This weekend always marks the time I switch my attantion fully to the national hunt season ahead and I have been spending the weekend going through all the horses I am tracking in my Racing Post tracker and removing the majority of my flat horses, other than those which I am going to track on the all-weather and also a few 2yo’s who I want for the early part of the 2017 season.

We have had the first jumps meeting of the season at Kempton Park this afternoon and I was looking forward to seeing My Tent or Yours making his seasonal re-appearance after his huge effort at Cheltenham in the Champion Hurdle, although he was a late withdrawal and so we will need to wait a little longer for that, but I backed stablemate Hargam instead and made a nice profit on that bet.

Next weekend we have the Showcase Meeting at Cheltenham kicking off and then we are into November and the first big jumps meeting at Ascot, Sandown and of course the Paddy Power Open Meeting back at Cheltenham, Ilve this time of year and as many of you know – the next 5 months are my most proitable of the year on the back bets.

Where To Focus Your Attention When Backing At This Time Of Year To Make Profit

I am always sharing advice with my subscribers on how to adjust their “betting strategy” month by month, taking into account seasonal changes and what angles are the most profitable at different times of the year.

My strategy when backing horses at the start of the jumps season and through to Xmas is to specialise in tracking novice hurdlers and focusing on the major meetings. By focusing on horses you know in major meetings and then trying to identify the next superstars of the season going through to the major festivals after Xmas, you can build some nice profits.

Novice Hurdles Are A License To Print Money If You Know What You Are Looking For

I know all the jumps yards and how they prepare their new novice hurdlers, which yards will have them ready to win on their first few runs and which yards will need a few runs before they are ready to win. I watch every novice hurdle live every day and then re-watch them all back in the evening making notes on all the horses in the top 4 or 5, what running style they have, what ground they like and what courses they do well at. I then add these notes to my tracker, to alert me when they are next running. I then let my Email Subsribers know each morning what I am backing and why.

You can see why my Racing Profits Email Service is so popular at this time of year and over the next few months, plus why it is so hard to get a place and why I strictly limit them to only 50 people per month.

I currently have 5 spots available on my Racing Profits Email Subscription Service – So if you are seious about making money from backing horses over the next few months, check it out and subscribe here Racing Profits Email Service , while you still can. Find out why so many people love my service and come back month after month.

Look forward to working with you over the coming months and bring on the jumps 🙂

Aintree Grand National

[VIDEO] Finding The Winner Of The Grand National 2016

Finding the winner of the Grand National 2016 looks an impossible task, with so many runners, how do you do it ? I recorded this video How To Find The Winner Of The Grand National a few years ago for my YouTube Channel. However, the statistics we use to narrow down the field of the big race on Saturday, are just as effective now.

Take your time to watch the video through and then when we have the final declarations this afternoon, work your way through the field and make yourself a shortlist of the main contenders.


As you can see the key is to use the wealth of historical data, race trends and statistics to narrow down the field from 40 horses to the key contenders for the race each year. This is my favourite method to approach the race each year and some years I have had a list of 6 horses with four of them filling the top 4 places. So it is worth the effort.

Here are my Top 10 Tips for Finding The Winner Of The Grand National 2016 :

1. Weight – Look at the Top Weight – Winners generally carry less than 11st 1lb. Over the past 30 years there have only been 3 winners to carry more. However, since the fences have got slightly easier over the years, this has not been as much of a factor with Don’t Push It in 2010 , Neptune Collonges in 2012 and last year Many Clouds carried 11st 9lb to victory, so you can see why he is so popular this year only carrying 1lb more. Although the ground looks like it could be alot softer than last year and weight could well be a factor.
NOTE: Also look at the Minimum Weight of 10 st – Only 2 winners in the past 26 years have carried the minimum 10 st – so again you can safely exclude any horses on minimum weight.
2. Age – The sweet spot for a winner’s age is between 8 – 12yrs old. All of the past 26 winners have fallen in this age group. Over the past few years the race has been dominated by 10 / 11 yo, Many Clouds was 8yrs old when he won it last year.
NOTE: Avoid Younger horses of 6 / 7 yrs old, as they do not tend to have the experience or stamina to win the race. So dismiss all horses under 8yrs old or older than 12yrs old.
3. Sex – The last mare to win the race was Nickel Coin in 1951 – so avoid female horses.
4. Stamina – Proven stamina – the past 20 winners have all won a race over 3m or more in that season. Even Mon Mome, the 100/1 winner in 2009 had won a race over 3m in December 2008.
5. Experience – Naturally horses with more experience do well at Aintree, as the jumping test demands it. All of the last 26 winners have run at least 10 times over fences before competing in the Grand National. Check back in the horse form and make sure they have at least 10 chase runs.
6. Greys – Only 2 grey horses in the history of the Grand National have won the race. The last was Nicolaus Silver in 1961.
7. Blinkers – In the past 40 yrs only 2 horses have won wearing blinkers. Comply or Die in 2008 and Earth Summit in 1998. So avoid horses with blinkers.
8. Odds – The market tends to get the race correct. Particularly when there has been little rain and the ground is good. The big priced winners tend to come when the ground is soft and it makes the race even more of a stamina test. Focus on the horses priced at 25/1 or less in the market – 20 winners from the past 26 years have come from this price range.
NOTE: This stat has been overturned twice in the past 5 years, although both of those years were on softer ground – with Neptune Collonges in 2012 at 33/1, Auroras Encore 2013 at 66/1. So the odds on the 2016 winner to be over 25/1 in the market are slim, particularly with the forecast ground.
9. One Win – Only 2 horse of the last 26 winners have recorded more than one win in the season, that was Ballabriggs the 2011 winner and Many Clouds last year’s winner. So you can safely discount horses with multiple wins that season.
10. Previous Winner – Only Red Rum has ever won the Grand National more than once, so any returning winners can be discounted from your shortlist.

So go through the list of runners tomorrow afternoon or on Saturday morning and put a line through each of them if they do not fit the criteria. Be ruthless and see what you have left on your list at the end. You will be surprised.

Enjoy the big race and make sure you check back here to www.RacingProfits.net on Saturday when I will reveal my shortlist of horses for the Grand National.