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Cheltenham Gold Cup Day 2020 – It’s Going To be Huge

Well after some close 2nd’s on Day 1 and a blow out yesterday, we got off the mark with SAMCRO winning a tight finish with Faugheen and Melon. I hope you got the 5/1 as he was strong all day in the markets. I was also pleased we opposed Paisley Park in the Stayer’s Hurdle and although Summerville Boy was back in 5th, there was no way I could have fancied Lisnagar Oscar, Ronald Pump or Bacardys.

The Cheltenham Gold Cup

Cheltenham Gold Cup Day 2020

On to today and the big race that the week has been building up to, the Cheltenham Gold Cup, but we also have the Triumph Hurdle and Albert Bartlett too, so plenty to go at today.

1:30 Triumph Hurdle – 2m

There is only one horse for me in this year’s Triumph and that is SOLO from Paul Nicholls stable. He joined the stable at the end of January and had his first outing at Kempton in the Adonis Hurdle last month where he dominated the field to win by 13 lengths. He went into my notebook for this race and I expect him to improve even further today.

RP TIP: 2pts win at 5/1

2:50 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

Another that I feel is open to more improvement today and has already proven he can compete with the very best is Philip Hobbs’ THYME HILL who was third in last year’s Champion Bumper but has since won all three of his hurdles races, including the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle at Newbury in December. He has been lightly raced and clearly aimed squarley at this race today. Grab the 5/1 while you can, as I recommended with Samcro yesterday.

RP TIP: 2pts win at 5/1

3:30 Cheltenham Gold Cup 2020

I am sticking with LOSTINTRANSLATION for this year’s Gold Cup. After his 2nd last year to Defi Du Seuil in the JLT and then winning at Aintree in the Mildmay before reappearing to win at Carlisle and then again at Haydock in the Betfair Chase, his only blot on his copy book was his run at Kempton in the King George where he appeared to be struggling to breath and was pulled up three out. He has since had a wind operation and also has a tongue tie to help, so I fully expect him to bounce back and put in a strong run today. At the price he is a good each way option.

RP TIP: 1pt each way at 8/1

A big bet for the Stayers Hurdle Today At The Festival

Well so close to a nice each way landing with Bachasson finishing in 6th, just missing out at 25/1. The big disappointment has to be in DEFI DU SEUIL though, the odds on him had already taken a battering with Altior and then Chacun Pour Soi being withdrawn, the two main competitors, it should have left it as an open goal for Defi, but he never travelled in the race and was being pushed along way out. It was a huge disappointment and far from what I expected.

Onto Thursday and it is probably my least favourite day over the years, with plenty of big fields, it is a day for the bookies and not the punter. However I have a couple I really like today.

1:30 Marsh Novices Chase – 2m 3f

A decent renewal with some top Novice Chasers involved including Itchy Feet and “the machine” Faugheen who is now 12yrs old but still got plenty of class and found a new lease of life over fences. However, my bet is going to be on SAMCRO at 5/1 who is a class act and despite losing to Faugheen, has had another wind operation to help him finish off his races. He could take all the beating here.

RP TIP: 2pts each way at 5/1

3:30 Stayers’ Hurdle – 2m 7f

I am a massive Paisley Park fan and can see why he is such a short priced favourite, but I can not take the price and would rather oppose with an old friend of mine SUMMERVILLE BOY, who won the Supreme Novice Hurdle for me in 2018 and has started to look like he is back in that sort of form this year with a nice win here in the Relkeel Hurdle on New Year’s Day followed by a battling performance to chase home Paisley Park in the Cleeve Hurdle. He loves Cheltenham and at 9/1 he is the bet for me in the race.

RP TIP: 1pt each way at 9/1

Cheltenham Festival 2016

3 Tips For Day 1 Of The Cheltenham Festival 2020

Well after what seems like a long wet winter we are finally heading to Prestbury Park for the Cheltenham Festival 2020. I have also taken some time off from tipping and my backing service, to focus on my trading and laying, with 3 or 4 back bets a week.

We start the week on the Old course and I thought I would share a few bets this week with you and hope you enjoy a few winners, these are horse I have been tracking across the season and expect to run well this week.

Cheltenham Festival 2016
Back at Prestbury Park for the Cheltenham Festival 2020

1:30 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle – 2m 1/2f

As all of you who have known me over the past 10 years will know, this is a race I spend plenty of time on and have a great strike rate with 4 winners in Menorah at 14/1, Champagne Fever at 5/1, Altior at 6/1 and Summerville Boy at 10/1. A race that Willie Mullins targets to get his week off to a flyer, he heads the market with Mrs J Donnelly’s Asterion Forlonge with the same owner also owning the Nicky Henderson trained Shishkin who is 2nd favourite and won impressively by 11 lengths at Huntingdon last month in a decent listed hurdle. However my money is on ABACADABRAS who will love conditions and the form of his 2nd to Envoi Allen in the Royal Bond at Fairyhouse in December was impressive. If you can get 7/1 then grab it 🙂

VIDEO – Using Form & Race Trends To Find Day 1 Festival Winners

2:10 Arkle Novices’ Chase – 2m

An open looking renewal this year after a number of years with short priced favourites such as Footpad, Altior, Douvan and Un De Sceaux dominating. Notebook is a worthy favourite having beaten both Fakir D’oudairies and Cash Back over the past few months. Although the win over the later horse was less than a length and so it would be no surprise to see that overturned this time. However I do question the temprement of the favourite and can see the crowd, the noise and the occasion getting to him at Cheltenham. So my money is going on FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES at 9/2 who was a good 4th here in the Supreme last year and has looked even better since switching to fences, including beating Melon by 3 lengths at Navan in November.

3:30 Champion Hurdle – 2m

The mighty Buveur D’Air won this two years in a row for Nicky Henderson and he has also won it with Binocular, so it is no surprise to see Henderson with four entries again this year. Epatante is the choice of Barry Geraghty, which is usually a strong indication of the best horse, but she was disappointing last year when going off favourite in the Mares’ Novice Hurdle and although she won the Christmas Hurdle in good style, she benefited from the Mare’s allowance. Cilaos Emery was off the track for a couple of years and has come back to be a decent chaser, however he showed he had plenty to offer over hurdles when winning at Gowran Park last month and deserves respect. Supasundae won the Coral Cup here in 2017, finished 2nd behind Penhill in the Stayer’s Hurdle in 2018 and beat the afore mentioned Buveur D’Air at Aintree last year in the Aintree Hurdle, so 11/1 could be a great price. I am sticking with PENTLAND HILLS who won twice for me last year in the Triumph Hurdle and then at Aintree in the Juvenile Hurdle beating Fakir D’oudairies. He will get a stronger pace in this race and has had a wind op since his Haydock 2nd to Ballyandy and can make amends here.

Have a great Day 1 and talk tomorrow with my pick for the Champion Chase.

Cheltenham Festival 2019 – Gold Cup Day

Well a nice start to the day yesterday with DEFI DU SEUIL adding another +6pts to the week by winning the JLT and confirming the form over Lostintranslation, as predicted. Although we gave four back with Monalee finishing 4th in the Ryanair, although not as disappointing as Footpad who was well beaten. Top Notch was a big price and did not perform as I had hoped, so hands up for that one and Paisley Park proved the form spot on.

On to Day 4 of the Cheltenham Festival 2019 and the big race of the season, the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Make sure you watch the video below to find out how to narrow down the field in the big races on the final day of the Festival and finish on a high.

VIDEO | Finding Winners On Gold Cup Day

1:30 JCB Triumph Hurdle

The final day of the Festival kicks off with the Triumph Hurdle and a race I have had plenty of luck with over the years. My gut feeling is that Sir Erec is too short and especially against his stablemate GARDENS OF BABYLON who is the pick of Barry Geraghty for this race. He was only 6 lengths behind the favourite at Leopardstown in the Grade 1 Spring Juvenile Hurdle and the addition of first time cheekpieces plus the more testing conditions should suit him and could see him reverse those placings.

RP TIP: GARDENS OF BABYLON – 1pt each way at 11/1

2:50 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

The Albert Bartlett is a 3m Novices’ race and with all the rain we have had this week, it is going to take some getting, as we saw yesterday with the Stayers Hurdle over the same trip. As the betting suggests, this is wide open this year but I really like, despite the concern over Gordon Elliott’s stable form, is COMMANDER OF FLEET, who showed real improvement when stepped up from 2m to 2m 6f to win a Novice Hurdle at Leopardstown at the start of last month. He has plenty of stamina and this further step up should bring out further improvement.

RP TIP: COMMANDER OF FLEET – 1pt each way at 7/1

3:30 Gold Cup Chase

A real test of horse and rider, the Gold Cup is the pinnacle of jumps racing and only the very best compete in it, let alone win it. So the likes of Kauto Star and Best Mate who won the race multiple times, are few and far between. However, last year’s winner NATIVE RIVER has been my bet for the race since I saw the forecast for the week. He will love conditions and has the proven stamina to follow up last years victory.

RP TIP: NATIVE RIVER – 2pts to win at 9/2

So that is it, the Festival is over for another year. Enjoy the final day and look forward to Aintree next month, when I will be back blogging each day of the Grand National Festival.

Cheltenham Festival 2019 – Day 3 – Big Race Bets

Well only the two selections yesterday for us and while Battleoverdoyen was disappointing in the Ballymore, we got a great run for our money from SANTINI in the RSA, who battled all the way to the line and was only just beaten by Topofthegame.

On to Day 3 and Stayers Hurdle Day (still the World Hurdle to me) – Check out this video to show you how to find winners on Day 3.

VIDEO | Finding Winners On Day 3 Of The Festival

So the big three Grade 1 races on Day 3 are always tricky and the switch to the New course definitely suits flat horses.

1:30 JLT Novices’ Chase

I am sticking with DEFI DU SEUIL to confirm the form against Lostintranslation from Sandown in the Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase, especially after yesterday’s result in the RSA where Topofthegame proved what a decent horse he is by winning. That stamps the form of the Exeter clash of the two, when Defi Du Seuil beat him by over 3 lengths.

RP TIP: DEFI DU SEUIL – 2pts to win at 3/1

2:50 Ryanair Chase

This is a cracking renewal of the Ryanair with Footpad, Road to Respect, Un De Sceaux and Frodon all having huge chances. However I am going to side with MONALEE who seems to come alive at the Festival and looked better than ever when winning at Gowran Park over this trip last month. He was due to head to the Gold Cup on Friday, but has been given a tilt at this instead and it could prove to be a wise decision.

RP TIP: MONALEE – 2pts to win at 5/1

3:30 Stayers’ Hurdle

I am staying away from the obvious and looking for some value behind Paisley Park in this and the one for me is TOP NOTCH who showed plenty of ability back over hurdles when 3rd behind Paisley Park at Ascot in the Long Walk Hurdle. He has won 3 of his last 5 runs and all under Daryl Jacob, so there is plenty to like about him at the price.

RP TIP: TOP NOTCH – 1pt each way at 14/1

Have a fantastic Day 3 and I will be back tomorrow for the final day and Gold Cup 🙂

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