The Grand National 2016 – Race Trends & Stats – Final Shortlist

I hope you all enjoyed the Video, I posted during the week, on how to narrow down the field in The grand National 2016. If you have not watched it yet, I have posted it here:

I have run through the entire field for today’s race and narrowed it down to five main contenders for the race, who pass all the race trends and stats, as you can see we have some big prices still in the race:

Saint Are – 18/1 – last year’s runner-up is a strong statistical pick, passing all the criteria including winning at Doncaster in February over 3m. He has to be on your shortlist based on last year’s run and he is carrying 1lb less weight this year too – which with the overnight rain could prove vital. Grab 18/1 from Bet365 Here

Boston Bob – 33/1 – A decent price for the race and winer of the Melling Chase here back in 2014. He bounced back to form on heavy ground at Fairyhouse winning over 3m 1f on heavy ground – so stamina will not be an issue. A cracking each way bet. Grab 33/1 From Paddy Power Here

Unioniste – 40/1 – one of 5 Nicholls runners in the race this year and although I have gone with Silviniaco Conti I can see why people like Unioniste. He is all stamina, as he proved in February up at Kelso when winning on heavy ground over 3m 2f by 9 lengths, he also chased home Many Clouds last time out. He fell in last year’s race but is carrying only 10st 8lb today rather than 11st 6lb last year. A player at a price. Grab 40/1 From Bet365 Here

Kruzhlinin – 40/1 – won at Kempton over 3m in soft conditions in January and had a good run at Cheltenham in a Grade 3 handicap chase. A rock solid jumper who has never fallen in his career and with bags of stamina he could well play a big part today. Grab 40/1 From BetBright Here

Soll – 66/1 – The biggest price but a horse who has proven form around these fences completing the Grand National twice and the Topham Chase aswell. Any horse who can get round these fences three times without falling, has to be on your shortlist. He also won at Sandown in January over 3m on heavy ground. So is certainly a horse capable of out running his odds. Grab a Massive 66/1 From Bet365 Here

Of the other contenders Many Clouds fails on carrying so much weight in 11st 10lb, which is only 2lb more than last year when he won but the ground will be far more testing today and that will count. Silviniaco Conti fails on weight and wearing blinkers, although he is actually running in this race off a mark of 163 rather than the 173 he was running off this time last year and the first time blinkers resulted in him winning last time out at Ascot, which is why he is one of my picks for the race. The Druids Nephew has not won a race over 3m this season although he went close when 2nd at Doncaster last time out, and he itted all the other criteria. The same goes for Holywell who has not won over 3m since 2015 but has gone close including at the Festival when he was 2nd last time out, he also wears blinkers, so failed that trend. The Last Samuri beat The Druids Nephew in that Cheltenham race and that was his 2nd win of the season, so he failed on the multiple winners statistic, although Many Clouds overturned that last year. Money is coming for Shutthefrontdoor who finished 5th last year and is only carrying 10st 11lb this year, he also failed on not having won a race over 3m this season, but that course form and a freshener in the Greatwood Gold Cup at Newbury in March when he was pulled up, showed he has been aimed at this race.

There are a number of question marks over some of the other top market contenders, but as always your opinion is what matters and this shortlist narrows down the field for you to dig into the horses left and make your selction – so enjoy your day today and I hope this has helped you.

If you want to join our Email Service for the excitement of the start of the flat season then head over to >>> Racing Profits Email Selection Service and it would be great to have you on board.

 

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About the Author

Richard has been involved in horse racing for the majority of his life. Born in Yorkshire he was brought up around the Northern tracks and has been a Professional punter, form student and race analyst for the past 20 years. Richard's passion for racing and betting is infectious and his innovation in profitable racing systems around backing, laying, dutching and trading on horse racing will help anyone develop a profitable betting strategy. He is responsible for The Scout Tips in the Daily Express and generates the ratings for use in the Daily Star racing pages. He set up RacingProfits.net in 2009 as his personal horse racing blog and also the Managing Director of Racing Profits Guides Ltd running a network of 14 racecourse guide websites and 75 associated social media channels. He is based at the RPG offices at Lincoln University. You could not find a better mentor to help you make money from your betting on horse racing in the UK.

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