I hope you all enjoyed the Video, I posted during the week, on how to narrow down the field in today’s race. If you have not watched it yet, I have posted it here:
I have run through the entire field for today’s race and narrowed it down to five main contenders for the race.
Chicago Grey – 12/1 – Qualifies for all my main criteria I look for in a horse, has plenty of experience, won nicely at Navan in February and is 9lb lower than when running here last year, when he was unlucky to be brought down when going well. He could well be the first Grey to win since 1961.
Balthazar King – 20/1 – Another who passes all of my criteria for the race with flying colours, he has loads of experience, loads of stamina and is a fantastic jumper. The further plus for him is he is a front runner, so he will probably trade short in running and stay well clear of any fallers who could take him down.
Roberto Goldback – 25/1 – Passes 9 of my 10 criteria, only failing on the carrying of 11st 6lb today – however with the changes to the course and the going I do not feel the weight is going to be as big a part. Certainly over the last few years Don’t Push It won off 11st 5lbs in 2011 and last year Neptune Collonges carried 11st 6lb to victory – so the old rule of horses above 11st 1lb not winning has been broken recently.
On His Own – 12/1 – Has all the credentials to win this and is another who proved himself last year before coming down at Becher’s on the 2nd circuit, he looked to be going as well as any before then. Only had the one run this season, winning a hurdle at Navan in February, as the yard have targeted this race today with him. He has only had 7 races over fences rather than the 10 I like to see for experience but it is hard not to be impressed with everything else.
Colbert Station – 12/1 – Is the choice of AP McCoy over last year’s runner-up who we backed, SunnyHillBoy. He has only had 5 runs over fences in his career but his win of the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown in December was very impressive and he has followed up with a win over hurdles at Punchestown in February. AP McCoy rode him both times and he is clearly impressed with what he has seen. My main concern here is that he makes it round, as he does not have the chasing experience.
Of the others Seabass did well last year, but is carrying 11st 6lb today, compared to 10st 11lb last year and has not won this season yet, finishing 2nd and 3rd at Fairyhouse, so I could not get involved. I love Teaforthree and would love to see him do well, as we have backed him a few times in the past, but again the form running up to the race and his weight are against him.
There are a number of question marks over some of the other top market contenders, but as always your opinion is what matters and this shortlist narrows down the field for you to dig into the horses left and make your selction – so enjoy your day today and I hope this has helped you.
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