Royal Ascot Racing Tips – Day 4 – Race Trends,Tips & Lays

Well another day and another Royal Ascot winner for all of my Racing Profits Email Service subscribers with Cannock Chase winning the Tercentenary for us. We also had Patrick Weaver’s “Lay of the Day” in the same race, he had put up Barley Mow who finished unplaced again.

Just the three big group races for Day 4 of the Royal meeting:

2:30 – Albany Stakes – Group 3 – 6f – 2yo Fillies

Here are the top race trends and statistics from the past 12 years for the Albany:

11/11 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
11/11 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
11/11 – Never raced at Ascot before
10/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Won their previous race
6/11 – Returned a double-figure price
6/11 – Won by trainers Channon (2), Hannon (2) or Noseda (2)
3/11 – Ran at Sandown last time
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/11 – Previous winner over 6f
Race Notes

Always a wide open sprint the Albany is not a great betting race but always guarantees plenty of surprises. One statistic from the past 9 years is that 4 of the winners lost their maiden status in this race. The trainers who target this race are Mick Channon, Richard Hannon and Jeremy Noseda – so pay close attention to their horses in the betting. The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

3:45 – King Edward VII Stakes – Group 2 – 1m 4f – 3yo only

Here are the trends and statistics for the King Edward VII Stakes:

11/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the market
11/11 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/11 – Finished in the top three last time out
8/11 – Had never raced at Ascot before
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
6/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
2/11 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
Race Notes

The market is a key guide in this race with it usually paying to focus on the top 3 or 4 horses in the market. You are also looking for a horse who has run at least twice in the season. The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1.

4:25 – Coronation Stakes – Group 1 – 1m – 3yo+ Fillies

Course Notes: Held on the round course.
Here are the Coronation Stakes race trends and stats:

12/12 – Had won over at least 7f before
10/12 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
8/12 – Had won over 1 mile before
6/12 – Had run at Ascot before (2 winners)
6/12 – Winning favorites (1 joint)
6/12 – Ran in that seasons English 1,000 Guineas
6/12 – Were unplaced last time out
3/12 – Ran in that seasons Irish 1,000 Guineas
2/12 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien

Race Notes

The big race on the Friday at Royal Ascot the Group 1 Coronation Stakes is for 3yo fillies over the round mile. A strange stat for this race is that 50% of the winners form the past 12 years were unplaced in their previous race. Again it is a race which throws up few surprises and you should focus on the top of the market. The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

Patrick’s Lay Of The Day For Day 4

Each day Patrick Weaver, Racing Editor from the Daily Express, will put up a daily lay for you. Here is Patrick’s Lay today:

Patrick says: “The first two home in the Lingfield Derby trial – SNOW SKY and HARTNELL – both run at Royal Ascot tomorrow (Friday). It looked a weak race to me and it was no surprise that the third and fourth were both tailed off on their next start, while the fifth was third of five in Listed company. In the circumstances SNOW SKY looks worth laying in the King Edward VII Stakes (3.45) and HARTNELL would seem an unlikely winner of the QUEEN’S VASE (5.00).”

RECOMMENDATION:

3:45 Ascot – Snow Sky – LAY

5:00 Ascot – Hartnell – LAY

Get My 3 Selections For Friday At Royal Ascot

My Selection’s for the first day of Ascot are available to everyone who is a subscriber on the Racing Profits Email Selection Service and after 3 winners so far at the meeting, you won’t want to miss tomorrow’s selections.

3 days Days Left to Grab the 50% Discount On The 6 Weeks Trading Training

Remember that until Sunday I am offering a 50% Discount on the entire course, dropping it from the RRP of £395 down to £195. However once Royal Ascot has finished I will be returning the course to the full price of £395 and there will be no exceptions.

You can use this link to take advantage of the June 50% Discount now – 6 Weeks Trading Training – June 50% Discount Offer

Have a great day and back tomorrow for the final day of this years Royal meeting.

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About the Author

Richard has been involved in horse racing for the majority of his life. Born in Yorkshire he was brought up around the Northern tracks and has been a Professional punter, form student and race analyst for the past 20 years. Richard's passion for racing and betting is infectious and his innovation in profitable racing systems around backing, laying, dutching and trading on horse racing will help anyone develop a profitable betting strategy. He is responsible for The Scout Tips in the Daily Express and generates the ratings for use in the Daily Star racing pages. He set up RacingProfits.net in 2009 as his personal horse racing blog and also the Managing Director of Racing Profits Guides Ltd running a network of 14 racecourse guide websites and 75 associated social media channels. He is based at the RPG offices at Lincoln University. You could not find a better mentor to help you make money from your betting on horse racing in the UK.

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